Geraci has been interviewed by Italian RaiNews to discuss the impact of Trump on Chinese economic development. On the margin, he believes Trump’s presidency will be slightly positive for China. On one hand, Trump has made a promise to raise tariffs for imports from China into the U.S. But Geraci points out that one thing is the rhetoric used during the election period and one other thing is what the President will do afterwards. Obviously he needs to take care of the mid-western voters, people who are particularly hit by the economic recession, and he needs to show he is doing something to help them, without affecting the relationship with China too much.
Geraci told Sputnik radio that the victory of Donald Trump leaves Obama’s “pivot to Asia” policy in question. It seems safe to describe the mass upswell of support for the unconventional Trump as a loud cry to change business as usual.
Geraci, controversially, had anticipated Trumps victory. Is this good news for China or bad news? Geraci reassures that in fact, Trump’s victory is marginally good news for China because US will need to collaborate with China for improving their domestic infrastructure.
Geraci on IlSole/Radiocor plays down China’s interests for US election outcome:“No matter who wins, China will continue on its own path – a difficult one – towards innovation and high end manufacturing. Paradoxically, should Trump take the White House and really impose restrictions on Chinese imports, this would only accelerate China’s transformation.”